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  #21  
Old 06-25-2012, 08:15 AM
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toddshotrods toddshotrods is offline
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

The costs are a lot higher than they appear to be, in circumstance that like that. One, the cells have to actually be replaced meaning it cost you double just to keep your product in those customers' products - double the total business expense (materials, labor, utilities, overhead, etc). Then, you have to ship the bad cells back to the factory, and safely dispose of them, ship the new cells to the customers, probably cover a significant (if not total - it was their fault) amount of the cost of replacing them in whatever they were in. Then, the cells you shipped out to replace them were inventory that no longer exists, so you have to produce more cells to meet demand (again total cost of production, most likely at increased costs due to the need to temporarily bump up the supply chain).

Add to that the lost production time that the machines were down, to find and correct the problem, and all the modern big business (PR) expenses to "manage" the situation. A nice strategy in that was the release of information on the new technology, which triggered a little bump in the stock price to help with the financial uncertainty issue. I wonder how much it cost them to get accelerated results from OSU...

Modern business is rarely measured in a dollar out/two dollars in formula. It's a complex equation that accounts for a LOT of variables, and is usually based on a lot of "ifs". A part of that "loss" was probably also because this disruption cancelled out a lot of the "ifs" that were necessary to even claim, having broke even or turned a profit, later. Hearing them say "loss" doesn't necessarily mean money out of the bank account today, it could mean money that won't ever see the bank account that their plans were counting on - like the sale of all the cells that went out to replace the bad ones.

Edit: It also likely incorporated the anticipated drop in market value (that's one of their main sources of funding). That's why I said the big news was a good strategy because it mitigated some of those losses. If too many shareholders sell off, you don't have as much capital to invest and operate - technically, that's a loss...

Last edited by toddshotrods; 06-25-2012 at 08:19 AM. Reason: market value
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  #22  
Old 06-25-2012, 11:47 AM
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

They actually replaced entire modules, not just cells, since the cells are welded in place. That's why we are suddenly seeing so many A123 modules in the hands of Chinese resellers, most of them with defective cells. So if there was a single bad cell in a 24S3P module the whole thing would be replaced.
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  #23  
Old 06-25-2012, 11:51 AM
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

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Originally Posted by JRP3 View Post
They actually replaced entire modules, not just cells, since the cells are welded in place. That's why we are suddenly seeing so many A123 modules in the hands of Chinese resellers, most of them with defective cells. So if there was a single bad cell in a 24S3P module the whole thing would be replaced.
Good point.
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  #24  
Old 06-25-2012, 02:18 PM
JRoque JRoque is offline
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

I can almost see it: "Boys, we're going to make these modules unrepairable so the customer will have to buy a whole new one if one cell goes bad... you know, the iPhone! We'll make millions!". Oops.

JR
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Old 06-25-2012, 02:58 PM
jeremyjs jeremyjs is offline
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

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Originally Posted by JRoque View Post
I can almost see it: "Boys, we're going to make these modules unrepairable so the customer will have to buy a whole new one if one cell goes bad... you know, the iPhone! We'll make millions!". Oops.

JR

I have to say I think the whole pouch cell thing is a rather stupid way to make a "large" format cell. I makes the whole process of making a battery pack unnecessarily expensive and difficult. That's one place where the Chinese cell manufacturers have it figured out. Along with actually selling their cells to people who want to buy them.
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  #26  
Old 06-25-2012, 04:08 PM
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

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Originally Posted by JRoque View Post
I can almost see it: "Boys, we're going to make these modules unrepairable so the customer will have to buy a whole new one if one cell goes bad... you know, the iPhone! We'll make millions!". Oops.

JR
It's really more to do with fast and easy automated manufacturing. Welding is fast and creates a solid low resistance connection. They just need better QC on the cells before they go into a pack.
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  #27  
Old 06-25-2012, 07:23 PM
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Default Re: A123 Having Financial Trouble

Agreed J. No volume manufacturing operation can guarantee 100% quality. In the grand scheme of things, they would rather have this happen now, than someday have tens or hundreds of thousands of electric cars on the road with their product in it and find out there's a serious problem. These are the experiences that create better QC systems. This is all new and there will be plenty of kinks to work out of the system to make it work as smoothly as we're used to having things. People have a convenient habit of forgetting how much time and development, plus failures and hurdles, created the things we take for granted on a daily basis.
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